Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Adrian Mannarino — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Adrian Mannarino

Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)

Resolved Adrian Mannarino. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Adrian Mannarino. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Adrian Mannarino 100%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$997.98

Combined PnL

$390.45

Adrian Mannarino

3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Jakub Mensik0%

Adrian Mannarino100%

Adrian Mannarino3 traders

Total Value$650.93

Total Shares651

Combined PnL+$390.45

Jakub Mensik1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Adrian Mannarino — 75%Jakub Mensik — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MI mishipolisARB<$100	Adrian Mannarinoavg 39.8¢	$145.87	$347.06	+$211.18	50% 4442-4367 (8809)
└ Adrian Mannarino leg	Adrian Mannarinoavg 39.8¢	$138.2	$347.06	+$211.48
└ Jakub Mensik leg	Jakub Mensikavg 0.1¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	Adrian Mannarinoavg 40¢	$258.37	$645.93	+$387.55	53% 3106-2736 (5842)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Adrian Mannarinoavg 42¢	$2.1	$5	+$2.9	47% 2056-2353 (4409)
0X 0x0b14cac497137dddea6a2b26e94a6bac931e3ca3<$100	Adrian Mannarinoavg 46.1¢	—	—	+$0	44% 389-486 (875)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Jakub Mensikavg 53¢	—	—	+$0	58% 40784-29493 (70277)