Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Adrian Mannarino — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Adrian Mannarino
Set 1 Winner: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino
Resolved Adrian Mannarino. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Adrian Mannarino. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Adrian Mannarino 40%
1 arb excluded
$903.7
-$220.79
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau | Adrian Mannarinoavg 99.9¢ | $499.5 | $500 | +$0.5 | 99% 10510-51 (10561) |
SH shiifoo | Adrian Mannarinoavg 72¢ | $216 | $300 | +$84 | 60% 3247-2178 (5425) |
MI mishipolisARB<$100 | Jakub Mensikavg 28¢ | $153.5 | $103.7 | -$49.8 | 50% 4441-4366 (8807) |
| └ Adrian Mannarino leg | Adrian Mannarinoavg 67¢ | $69.5 | $103.7 | +$34.2 | |
| └ Jakub Mensik leg | Jakub Mensikavg 28¢ | $84 | — | -$84 | |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Jakub Mensikavg 75¢ | $75 | — | -$70 | 58% 40758-29479 (70237) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Jakub Mensikavg 33¢ | $3.96 | — | -$3.96 | 50% 6813-6827 (13640) |
 poshposhCTR | Jakub Mensikavg 68.2¢ | $231.33 | — | -$231.33 | 60% 9374-6357 (15731) |
Invested
$499.5
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.5
Record
99%
10510-51 (10561)
Invested
$216
Value
$300
PnL
+$84
Record
60%
3247-2178 (5425)
Invested
$153.5
Value
$103.7
PnL
-$49.8
Record
50%
4441-4366 (8807)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$75
Value
—
PnL
-$70
Record
58%
40758-29479 (70237)
Invested
$3.96
Value
—
PnL
-$3.96
Record
50%
6813-6827 (13640)
poshposhCTRInvested
$231.33
Value
—
PnL
-$231.33
Record
60%
9374-6357 (15731)
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