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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Daniil Medvedev — but Carlos Alcaraz won instead.
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Daniil Medvedev (+1.5)
Resolved Carlos Alcaraz. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Daniil Medvedev. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Daniil Medvedev 43%
Total Value
$188.82
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Daniil Medvedev
3 of 7 top traders (43%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Carlos Alcaraz100%
Daniil Medvedev0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc90711af...aef0d7
Slug
atp-medvede-alcaraz-2026-10-31-set-handicap-away-1pt5