Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Pedro Martinez — but Otto Virtanen won instead.
Set Handicap: Otto Virtanen (-1.5) vs Pedro Martinez (+1.5)
Resolved Otto Virtanen. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Pedro Martinez. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Pedro Martinez 86%
$53.71
-$291.42
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100 | Pedro Martinezavg 44.7¢ | $75.45 | — | -$75.45 | 48% 293-321 (614) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Pedro Martinezavg 45¢ | $72.36 | — | -$72.36 | 46% 497-591 (1088) |
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100 | Pedro Martinezavg 43¢ | $68.8 | — | -$68.8 | 43% 182-242 (424) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Pedro Martinezavg 42.3¢ | $44.13 | — | -$44.13 | 55% 474-384 (858) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Otto Virtanenavg 99.1¢ | $53.23 | $53.71 | +$0.48 | 94% 118-8 (126) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Pedro Martinezavg 45¢ | $26.73 | — | -$26.73 | 53% 1376-1196 (2572) |
BA Bagwell306CTR<$100 | Pedro Martinezavg 43¢ | $4.45 | — | -$4.45 | 33% 68-137 (205) |
Invested
$75.45
Value
—
PnL
-$75.45
Record
48%
293-321 (614)
Invested
$72.36
Value
—
PnL
-$72.36
Record
46%
497-591 (1088)
Invested
$68.8
Value
—
PnL
-$68.8
Record
43%
182-242 (424)
Invested
$44.13
Value
—
PnL
-$44.13
Record
55%
474-384 (858)
Invested
$53.23
Value
$53.71
PnL
+$0.48
Record
94%
118-8 (126)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$26.73
Value
—
PnL
-$26.73
Record
53%
1376-1196 (2572)
Invested
$4.45
Value
—
PnL
-$4.45
Record
33%
68-137 (205)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382
CTRPedro Martinez — $0
omnibus-076daa
CTRPedro Martinez — $0
NatoAlfista
CTRPedro Martinez — $0
LeLynxMalynx
CTRPedro Martinez — $0
MarquisDeMott
Otto Virtanen — $53.71
VeryLucky888
CTRPedro Martinez — $0
Bagwell306
CTRPedro Martinez — $0