Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Brest: Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo
8 of 23 top Polymarket traders hold Francesco Maestrelli (35%) · Francesco Maestrelli at 100¢ · $196K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
23
Francesco Maestrelli 35%
1 arb excluded
$196.2K
$50.4K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 23 top traders (35%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed15 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TE tenniz | Francesco Maestrelliavg 67.6¢ | $105.4K | $155.2K | +$49.8K | 81% 61-14 (75) |
01 01258787xy48487484545122 | Francesco Maestrelliavg 78.3¢ | $12.5K | $15.9K | +$3.4K | 63% 260-151 (411) |
UP UpTheBlues | Francesco Maestrelliavg 58.6¢ | $11.2K | $15.8K | +$4.5K | 59% 44657-31054 (75711) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 37.2¢ | $6.0K | $3.2K | $-2.8K | 54% 16879-14148 (31027) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 41¢ | $1.5K | $2.1K | +$604.25 | 49% 18637-19066 (37703) |
YE yesmate | Francesco Maestrelliavg 61.3¢ | $1.5K | $1.1K | -$482.39 | 52% 351-327 (678) |
TH thestingsnakeARB<$100 | Francesco Maestrelliavg 58.1¢ | $749.01 | $752.05 | +$12.82 | 60% 3975-2677 (6652) |
| └ Francesco Maestrelli leg | Francesco Maestrelliavg 58.1¢ | $512.49 | $569.07 | +$56.58 | |
| └ Gabriel Diallo leg | Gabriel Dialloavg 43.8¢ | $225.53 | $182.97 | -$43.77 | |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 17.7¢ | $176.43 | $578.87 | +$402.44 | 52% 13577-12420 (25997) |
 0xheavy888CTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 76¢ | $675.64 | $520.07 | -$155.58 | 56% 6920-5536 (12456) |
 tradecraft | Francesco Maestrelliavg 44¢ | $467.75 | $447.14 | -$20.6 | 52% 5886-5524 (11410) |
MR MrBentlyCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 43¢ | $215 | $290 | +$75 | 52% 514-470 (984) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Francesco Maestrelliavg 57¢ | $285 | $210 | -$75 | 59% 30110-20842 (50952) |
1L 1lovejumpCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 46.3¢ | $597.11 | $156.76 | -$239.71 | 54% 639-555 (1194) |
 RN1CTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 27.5¢ | $2.8K | $50.66 | $-2.7K | 54% 55758-47850 (103608) |
US User7429CTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 21¢ | $818.4 | $19.49 | -$798.91 | 55% 8111-6554 (14665) |
 poshposhCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 37.7¢ | $580.5 | $7.69 | -$572.81 | 60% 9411-6401 (15812) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Gabriel Dialloavg 74.4¢ | $8.85 | $6.27 | +$0.5 | 58% 40808-29511 (70319) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080<$100 | Francesco Maestrelliavg 54¢ | $5.4 | $4.2 | -$1.2 | 51% 1295-1231 (2526) |
LA lavendergoomsCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 22.9¢ | $156.42 | $3.41 | -$153.01 | 53% 2604-2344 (4948) |
GH ghostorderCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 34¢ | $221 | $3.25 | -$217.75 | 62% 4278-2637 (6915) |
SH shiifooCTR | Gabriel Dialloavg 20¢ | $100 | $2.5 | -$97.5 | 60% 3253-2181 (5434) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Francesco Maestrelliavg 24¢ | $1.2 | $2.28 | +$1.08 | 47% 2075-2359 (4434) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Gabriel Dialloavg 56.2¢ | $25.86 | $0.23 | -$25.63 | 58% 18426-13514 (31940) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Gabriel Dialloavg 21¢ | $9 | $0.21 | -$8.79 | 53% 3109-2775 (5884) |
Invested
$105,381.36
Value
$155.2K
PnL
+$49.8K
Record
81%
61-14 (75)
Invested
$12,505.47
Value
$15.9K
PnL
+$3.4K
Record
63%
260-151 (411)
Invested
$11,211.59
Value
$15.8K
PnL
+$4.5K
Record
59%
44657-31054 (75711)
Invested
$5,995.53
Value
$3.2K
PnL
$-2.8K
Record
54%
16879-14148 (31027)
Invested
$1,457.32
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$604.25
Record
49%
18637-19066 (37703)
Invested
$1,532.39
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$482.39
Record
52%
351-327 (678)
Invested
$749.01
Value
$752.05
PnL
+$12.82
Record
60%
3975-2677 (6652)
Both legs:
Invested
$176.43
Value
$578.87
PnL
+$402.44
Record
52%
13577-12420 (25997)
0xheavy888CTRInvested
$675.64
Value
$520.07
PnL
-$155.58
Record
56%
6920-5536 (12456)
tradecraftInvested
$467.75
Value
$447.14
PnL
-$20.6
Record
52%
5886-5524 (11410)
Invested
$215
Value
$290
PnL
+$75
Record
52%
514-470 (984)
Invested
$285
Value
$210
PnL
-$75
Record
59%
30110-20842 (50952)
Invested
$597.11
Value
$156.76
PnL
-$239.71
Record
54%
639-555 (1194)
RN1CTRInvested
$2,790.99
Value
$50.66
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
54%
55758-47850 (103608)
Invested
$818.4
Value
$19.49
PnL
-$798.91
Record
55%
8111-6554 (14665)
poshposhCTRInvested
$580.5
Value
$7.69
PnL
-$572.81
Record
60%
9411-6401 (15812)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$8.85
Value
$6.27
PnL
+$0.5
Record
58%
40808-29511 (70319)
Invested
$5.4
Value
$4.2
PnL
-$1.2
Record
51%
1295-1231 (2526)
Invested
$156.42
Value
$3.41
PnL
-$153.01
Record
53%
2604-2344 (4948)
Invested
$221
Value
$3.25
PnL
-$217.75
Record
62%
4278-2637 (6915)
Invested
$100
Value
$2.5
PnL
-$97.5
Record
60%
3253-2181 (5434)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$2.28
PnL
+$1.08
Record
47%
2075-2359 (4434)
Invested
$25.86
Value
$0.23
PnL
-$25.63
Record
58%
18426-13514 (31940)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
$0.21
PnL
-$8.79
Record
53%
3109-2775 (5884)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
tenniz
Francesco Maestrelli — $155.2K
01258787xy48487484545122
Francesco Maestrelli — $15.9K
UpTheBlues
Francesco Maestrelli — $15.8K
HomeRunHazard
CTRGabriel Diallo — $3.2K
omnibus-076daa
CTRGabriel Diallo — $2.1K
yesmate
Francesco Maestrelli — $1.1K
thestingsnake
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
CTRGabriel Diallo — $578.87
0xheavy888
CTRGabriel Diallo — $520.07
tradecraft
Francesco Maestrelli — $447.14