Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Lui Maxted — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Lui Maxted
Knoxville: Jamie Mackenzie vs Lui Maxted
Resolved Lui Maxted. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Lui Maxted. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Lui Maxted 60%
1 arb excluded
$151.5K
$34.3K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Lui Maxtedavg 70.8¢ | $160.9K | $133.7K | +$34.4K | 46% 33417-38911 (72328) |
MA MadridTime | Lui Maxtedavg 71.6¢ | $10.9K | $10.8K | +$7.14 | 47% 2148-2414 (4562) |
LI LightParadox | Lui Maxtedavg 83.6¢ | $3.3K | $2.4K | -$204.32 | 47% 2157-2403 (4560) |
LI Limousin | Lui Maxtedavg 85.8¢ | $3.3K | $2.2K | +$192.19 | 49% 2223-2352 (4575) |
EU Eulhunter | Lui Maxtedavg 70¢ | $743.89 | $920.19 | +$176.3 | 53% 6779-5931 (12710) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Lui Maxtedavg 53.9¢ | $1.1K | $781.26 | -$83.33 | 50% 23496-23498 (46994) |
 machinelearned | Lui Maxtedavg 68.2¢ | $628.8 | $614.5 | -$8.77 | 54% 10225-8705 (18930) |
SE sentrioARB<$100 | Jamie Mackenzieavg 33¢ | $792.63 | $35.71 | -$235.86 | 50% 27970-27422 (55392) |
| └ Jamie Mackenzie leg | Jamie Mackenzieavg 33¢ | $249.78 | — | -$249.78 | |
| └ Lui Maxted leg | Lui Maxtedavg 61¢ | $21.78 | $35.71 | +$13.93 | |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Jamie Mackenzieavg 27.9¢ | $695.41 | — | +$26.37 | 56% 39466-31114 (70580) |
TH thestingsnakeCTR | Jamie Mackenzieavg 49.6¢ | $230.08 | — | -$87.36 | 60% 4598-3103 (7701) |
SC SchruteBucks | Lui Maxtedavg 50¢ | $580 | $15.3 | +$7.65 | 56% 1972-1532 (3504) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Lui Maxtedavg 61¢ | $39.99 | $12.3 | +$4.8 | 59% 52427-37141 (89568) |
 tradecraftCTR | Jamie Mackenzieavg 48¢ | $105 | — | -$50.4 | 51% 6692-6432 (13124) |
FL flatbarrelCTR | Jamie Mackenzieavg 33¢ | $230 | — | -$2.55 | 58% 2813-2019 (4832) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Jamie Mackenzieavg 38¢ | $5 | — | -$1.9 | 52% 9525-8636 (18161) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Jamie Mackenzieavg 31¢ | $5 | — | -$1.55 | 57% 20233-15052 (35285) |
Invested
$160,900.92
Value
$133.7K
PnL
+$34.4K
Record
46%
33417-38911 (72328)
Invested
$10,860.85
Value
$10.8K
PnL
+$7.14
Record
47%
2148-2414 (4562)
Invested
$3,257.84
Value
$2.4K
PnL
-$204.32
Record
47%
2157-2403 (4560)
Invested
$3,263.22
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$192.19
Record
49%
2223-2352 (4575)
Invested
$743.89
Value
$920.19
PnL
+$176.3
Record
53%
6779-5931 (12710)
Invested
$1,143.66
Value
$781.26
PnL
-$83.33
Record
50%
23496-23498 (46994)
machinelearnedInvested
$628.8
Value
$614.5
PnL
-$8.77
Record
54%
10225-8705 (18930)
Invested
$792.63
Value
$35.71
PnL
-$235.86
Record
50%
27970-27422 (55392)
Both legs:
Invested
$695.41
Value
—
PnL
+$26.37
Record
56%
39466-31114 (70580)
Invested
$230.08
Value
—
PnL
-$87.36
Record
60%
4598-3103 (7701)
Invested
$580
Value
$15.3
PnL
+$7.65
Record
56%
1972-1532 (3504)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$39.99
Value
$12.3
PnL
+$4.8
Record
59%
52427-37141 (89568)
tradecraftCTRInvested
$105
Value
—
PnL
-$50.4
Record
51%
6692-6432 (13124)
Invested
$230
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
2813-2019 (4832)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
52%
9525-8636 (18161)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
57%
20233-15052 (35285)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ferrariChampions2026
Lui Maxted — $133.7K
MadridTime
Lui Maxted — $10.8K
LightParadox
Lui Maxted — $2.4K
Limousin
Lui Maxted — $2.2K
Eulhunter
Lui Maxted — $920.19
omnibus-076daa
Lui Maxted — $781.26
machinelearned
Lui Maxted — $614.5
sentrio
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRJamie Mackenzie — $0
thestingsnake
CTRJamie Mackenzie — $0