Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Billy Harris — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Billy Harris
Seoul: Billy Harris vs Aleksandar Vukic
Resolved Billy Harris. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Billy Harris. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Billy Harris 80%
1 arb excluded
$21.5K
$4.7K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 13 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Billy Harrisavg 83.5¢ | $11.4K | $13.7K | +$2.3K | 54% 16793-14092 (30885) |
TH thestingsnake | Billy Harrisavg 60¢ | $2.3K | $3.6K | +$1.4K | 60% 3949-2662 (6611) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Billy Harrisavg 82.2¢ | $1.7K | $1.9K | +$289.03 | 52% 13536-12383 (25919) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Billy Harrisavg 67¢ | $954.4 | $1.4K | +$465.6 | 51% 1258-1189 (2447) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 62.3¢ | $402.64 | $200.47 | +$29.05 | 53% 615-541 (1156) |
| └ Billy Harris leg | Billy Harrisavg 62.3¢ | $124.98 | $200.47 | +$124.28 | |
| └ Aleksandar Vukic leg | Aleksandar Vukicavg 20.4¢ | $95.16 | — | -$95.23 | |
 VeryLucky888 | Billy Harrisavg 32¢ | $179.73 | $497.11 | +$338.68 | 58% 40677-29411 (70088) |
EF efntrickCTR<$100 | Aleksandar Vukicavg 28.9¢ | $44.45 | — | -$40.05 | 48% 3646-3904 (7550) |
SC SchruteBucks | Billy Harrisavg 72.5¢ | $1.4K | $28.69 | +$26.71 | 56% 1803-1406 (3209) |
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100 | Aleksandar Vukicavg 33¢ | $21.45 | — | -$21.45 | 50% 3697-3672 (7369) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 53¢ | $12.19 | $23 | +$10.81 | 53% 2956-2611 (5567) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 88¢ | $4.4 | $5 | +$0.6 | 52% 5863-5498 (11361) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 34¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44559-30977 (75536) |
LI Lilybaeum<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 34¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 13594-8446 (22040) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Aleksandar Vukicavg 44¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 55584-47663 (103247) |
Invested
$11,439.8
Value
$13.7K
PnL
+$2.3K
Record
54%
16793-14092 (30885)
Invested
$2,348.81
Value
$3.6K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
60%
3949-2662 (6611)
Invested
$1,658.81
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$289.03
Record
52%
13536-12383 (25919)
Invested
$954.4
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$465.6
Record
51%
1258-1189 (2447)
Invested
$402.64
Value
$200.47
PnL
+$29.05
Record
53%
615-541 (1156)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888Invested
$179.73
Value
$497.11
PnL
+$338.68
Record
58%
40677-29411 (70088)
Invested
$44.45
Value
—
PnL
-$40.05
Record
48%
3646-3904 (7550)
Invested
$1,413.53
Value
$28.69
PnL
+$26.71
Record
56%
1803-1406 (3209)
Invested
$21.45
Value
—
PnL
-$21.45
Record
50%
3697-3672 (7369)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$12.19
Value
$23
PnL
+$10.81
Record
53%
2956-2611 (5567)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.6
Record
52%
5863-5498 (11361)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44559-30977 (75536)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
13594-8446 (22040)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
55584-47663 (103247)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
Billy Harris — $13.7K
thestingsnake
Billy Harris — $3.6K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Billy Harris — $1.9K
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
Billy Harris — $1.4K
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
VeryLucky888
Billy Harris — $497.11
efntrick
CTRAleksandar Vukic — $0
SchruteBucks
Billy Harris — $28.69
NatoAlfista
CTRAleksandar Vukic — $0
HRTrading
Billy Harris — $23