Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Nick Hardt — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Nick Hardt
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado
Resolved Nick Hardt. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Nick Hardt. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Nick Hardt 57%
$41.0K
$13.94
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TE tenniz | Nick Hardtavg 98.9¢ | $32.1K | $32.4K | +$363.67 | 82% 62-14 (76) |
 RN1 | Nick Hardtavg 51.3¢ | $3.2K | $5.6K | +$2.4K | 54% 56057-48191 (104248) |
MR MrBently | Nick Hardtavg 60¢ | $678.6 | $1.1K | +$452.4 | 53% 530-477 (1007) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Nick Hardtavg 73.5¢ | $924.36 | $970.7 | +$46.35 | 54% 17012-14262 (31274) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Nick Hardtavg 57.4¢ | $547.5 | $796.92 | +$249.42 | 52% 13677-12494 (26171) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Nick Hardtavg 83¢ | $8.3 | $10 | +$1.7 | 58% 18515-13599 (32114) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Nick Hardtavg 64¢ | $6.4 | $10 | +$3.6 | 86% 4916-815 (5731) |
0X 0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239CTR | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 33.9¢ | $3.4K | — | $-3.4K | 38% 484-796 (1280) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 1¢ | $7.3 | — | -$7.3 | 52% 3756-3412 (7168) |
SC SchruteBucks<$100 | Nick Hardtavg 71.9¢ | $43.53 | $1.27 | +$4.55 | 56% 1830-1420 (3250) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 2.7¢ | $5.86 | — | -$5.86 | 59% 9720-6710 (16430) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 33¢ | $51.15 | — | -$51.15 | 49% 18862-19270 (38132) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 10¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 51% 5932-5619 (11551) |
 fxwd12345CTR<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 22¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 69% 1493-666 (2159) |
LI Lilybaeum<$100 | Nick Hardtavg 28¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 13679-8520 (22199) |
FL flatbarrelCTR<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 74¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 2742-1965 (4707) |
Invested
$32,080.32
Value
$32.4K
PnL
+$363.67
Record
82%
62-14 (76)
RN1Invested
$3,242.05
Value
$5.6K
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
54%
56057-48191 (104248)
Invested
$678.6
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$452.4
Record
53%
530-477 (1007)
Invested
$924.36
Value
$970.7
PnL
+$46.35
Record
54%
17012-14262 (31274)
Invested
$547.5
Value
$796.92
PnL
+$249.42
Record
52%
13677-12494 (26171)
Invested
$8.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.7
Record
58%
18515-13599 (32114)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.6
Record
86%
4916-815 (5731)
Invested
$3,400
Value
—
PnL
$-3.4K
Record
38%
484-796 (1280)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$7.3
Value
—
PnL
-$7.3
Record
52%
3756-3412 (7168)
Invested
$43.53
Value
$1.27
PnL
+$4.55
Record
56%
1830-1420 (3250)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$5.86
Value
—
PnL
-$5.86
Record
59%
9720-6710 (16430)
Invested
$51.15
Value
—
PnL
-$51.15
Record
49%
18862-19270 (38132)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
51%
5932-5619 (11551)
fxwd12345CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
69%
1493-666 (2159)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
13679-8520 (22199)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
2742-1965 (4707)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
tenniz
Nick Hardt — $32.4K
RN1
Nick Hardt — $5.6K
MrBently
Nick Hardt — $1.1K
HomeRunHazard
Nick Hardt — $970.7
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Nick Hardt — $796.92
BillBenter2026
Nick Hardt — $10
ARTEM-DZYUBA
Nick Hardt — $10
0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239
CTRJuan Carlos Prado — $0
HRTrading
CTRJuan Carlos Prado — $0
SchruteBucks
Nick Hardt — $1.27