
Brest: Borna Gojo vs Dino Prizmic
2 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Dino Prizmic (33%) · Dino Prizmic at 61¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 4
⚖️
Neutral
Dino Prizmic
6
Dino Prizmic 33%
$1.3K
-$21.9
61¢ → 60.5¢
-1% since entry · 2 traders
Research grade
NeutralDino Prizmic at 61%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
- Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
2 traders
Top 2 hold 100%
Freshness
Fresh
0h old
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
33% of non-arb traders are on Dino Prizmic. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-1772597907584 | Dino Prizmicavg 61¢ | $1.5K | $907.5 | -$7.5 | 54% 164-141 (305) |
DA darkumbreon88 | Dino Prizmicavg 61¢ | $515.72 | $312.01 | -$2.58 | 65% 1664-897 (2561) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Borna Gojoavg 39¢ | $57.8 | $57.8 | +$0.74 | 58% 28119-20724 (48843) |
0X 0x3cc65a9097a1c1e134366d6fb96a1e8eed4f53f7CTR<$100 | Borna Gojoavg 50¢ | $60.98 | $48.17 | -$12.8 | 68% 89-41 (130) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Borna Gojoavg 39¢ | $18.19 | $18.42 | +$0.23 | 58% 40747-29469 (70216) |
![]() 0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Borna Gojoavg 39¢ | $1.64 | $0.65 | +$0.01 | 56% 6908-5524 (12432) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$907.5
PnL
-$7.5
Record
54%
164-141 (305)
Invested
$515.72
Value
$312.01
PnL
-$2.58
Record
65%
1664-897 (2561)
Invested
$57.8
Value
$57.8
PnL
+$0.74
Record
58%
28119-20724 (48843)
Invested
$60.98
Value
$48.17
PnL
-$12.8
Record
68%
89-41 (130)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$18.19
Value
$18.42
PnL
+$0.23
Record
58%
40747-29469 (70216)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$1.64
Value
$0.65
PnL
+$0.01
Record
56%
6908-5524 (12432)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
60.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-1772597907584
Dino Prizmic — $907.5
darkumbreon88
Dino Prizmic — $312.01
LeLynxMalynx
CTRBorna Gojo — $57.8
0x3cc65a9097a1c1e134366d6fb96a1e8eed4f53f7
CTRBorna Gojo — $48.17

VeryLucky888
CTRBorna Gojo — $18.42

0xheavy888
CTRBorna Gojo — $0.65