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Brest: Borna Gojo vs Dino Prizmic

2 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Dino Prizmic (33%) · Dino Prizmic at 61¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 4

Borna Gojo40¢Dino Prizmic60¢Ends Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Dino Prizmic

Consensus Traders

6

Dino Prizmic 33%

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$21.9

Smart Money Entry

61¢ → 60.5¢

-1% since entry · 2 traders

Research grade

NeutralDino Prizmic at 61%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

  • Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
  • Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Dino Prizmic

2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Borna Gojo40%
Dino Prizmic61%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Dino Prizmic2 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares2,016
Combined PnL-$10.08
Borna Gojo4 traders
Total Value$125.04
Total Shares318
Combined PnL-$11.82
Dino Prizmic — 33%Borna Gojo — 67%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

33% of non-arb traders are on Dino Prizmic. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians
whaleBorna Gojo 100% · 1
Diverging
sharpBorna Gojo 100% · 1
Diverging
ctrBorna Gojo 67% · 3
Diverging
Hand-pickedBorna Gojo 100% · 2
Diverging
Top 1000Borna Gojo 60% · 5
Diverging

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance62.7%

60.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$59.53
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
159.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x73de3708...f47e3f
Slug
atp-gojo-prizmic-2026-10-28
Trade on Polymarket