Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Sebastian Gima — but Ryan Peniston won instead.

Taranto: Sebastian Gima vs Ryan Peniston

Resolved Ryan Peniston. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Sebastian Gima. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Sebastian Gima 50%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Sebastian Gima

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Sebastian Gima0%

Ryan Peniston100%

Ryan Peniston3 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,466

Combined PnL+$201.46

Sebastian Gima3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,406

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Ryan Peniston — 50%Sebastian Gima — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Ryan Penistonavg 79¢	$581.26	$729.7	+$148.44	52% 13925-12698 (26623)
TH thestingsnake	Ryan Penistonavg 87.2¢	$444.11	$486.11	+$48.03	60% 4102-2764 (6866)
VeryLucky888	Ryan Penistonavg 54¢	$135	$250	+$5	58% 42674-31054 (73728)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Sebastian Gimaavg 30.1¢	$1.6K	—	$-1.6K	48% 1064-1163 (2227)
RN1CTR<$100	Sebastian Gimaavg 30¢	$1.5	—	-$1.5	54% 57146-49404 (106550)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Sebastian Gimaavg 30¢	$0.55	—	+$0.25	57% 29226-21613 (50839)