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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Fritz vs. Tirante: Match O/U 22.5

Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Under 71%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$624.78

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,843

Combined PnL$-1.4K

Over2 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,569

Combined PnL+$784.31

Under — 75%Over — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888CTR	Underavg 50¢	$1.2K	—	-$861.28	53% 1343-1170 (2513)
0X 0x0b14cac497137dddea6a2b26e94a6bac931e3ca3	Overavg 50¢	$588.24	$1.2K	+$588.24	2% 9-371 (380)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR	Underavg 50¢	$214.94	—	-$214.94	56% 462-367 (829)
0X 0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1	Overavg 50¢	$196.07	$392.14	+$196.07	4% 16-391 (407)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR	Underavg 50¢	$311.99	—	-$311.99	48% 286-304 (590)
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100	Underavg 47¢	$14.62	—	-$14.62	24% 55-172 (227)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Underavg 47¢	$6.27	—	-$6.27	37% 1022-1710 (2732)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Underavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	69% 131-59 (190)

VeryLucky888CTR

Invested

$1,152

Value

—

PnL

-$861.28

Record

53%

1343-1170 (2513)

0x0b14cac497137dddea6a2b26e94a6bac931e3ca3

Invested

$588.24

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$588.24

Record

2%

9-371 (380)

LeLynxMalynxCTR

Invested

$214.94

Value

—

PnL

-$214.94

Record

56%

462-367 (829)

0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1

Invested

$196.07

Value

$392.14

PnL

+$196.07

Record

4%

16-391 (407)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR

Invested

$311.99

Value

—

PnL

-$311.99

Record

48%

286-304 (590)

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100

Invested

$14.62

Value

—

PnL

-$14.62

Record

24%

55-172 (227)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$6.27

Value

—

PnL

-$6.27

Record

37%

1022-1710 (2732)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$400

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

131-59 (190)

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x23b81778...507da2

Slug

atp-fritz-tirante-2026-11-14-match-total-22pt5

Traders in this Market

VeryLucky888

Under — $0

0x0b14cac497137dddea6a2b26e94a6bac931e3ca3

Over — $1.2K

LeLynxMalynx

Under — $0

0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1

Over — $392.14

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Under — $0

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000

Under — $0

topdogbigboi

Under — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Under — $0

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