Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Fritz vs. Tirante: Match O/U 21.5
Resolved Over. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Under 80%
$57.91
-$264.14
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR | Underavg 40¢ | $198.15 | — | -$198.15 | 48% 286-304 (590) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $50.42 | — | -$50.42 | 37% 1022-1710 (2732) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Underavg 41¢ | $41 | — | -$41 | 56% 462-367 (829) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Overavg 44¢ | $25.48 | $57.91 | +$32.43 | 24% 55-172 (227) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 70¢ | $7 | — | -$7 | 38% 537-879 (1416) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 69% 131-59 (190) |
Invested
$198.15
Value
—
PnL
-$198.15
Record
48%
286-304 (590)
Invested
$50.42
Value
—
PnL
-$50.42
Record
37%
1022-1710 (2732)
Invested
$41
Value
—
PnL
-$41
Record
56%
462-367 (829)
Invested
$25.48
Value
$57.91
PnL
+$32.43
Record
24%
55-172 (227)
Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$7
Record
38%
537-879 (1416)
Invested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
131-59 (190)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382
CTRUnder — $0
topdogbigboi
CTRUnder — $0
LeLynxMalynx
CTRUnder — $0
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
Over — $57.91
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRUnder — $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
CTRUnder — $0