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poshposhTaylor Fritz
VeryLucky888Taylor Fritz
ARTEM-DZYUBATaylor FritzLorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Lorenzo Musetti — but Taylor Fritz won instead.
Game Spread: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)
Resolved Taylor Fritz. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Lorenzo Musetti. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Lorenzo Musetti 50%
Total Value
$197.96
Combined PnL
-$664.7
Smart Money Signal
Lorenzo Musetti
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Taylor Fritz100%
Lorenzo Musetti0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Taylor Fritz3 traders
Total Value$197.96
Total Shares198
Combined PnL+$93.44
Lorenzo Musetti2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,565
Combined PnL-$758.14
Taylor Fritz — 60%Lorenzo Musetti — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposh | Taylor Fritzavg 76.7¢ | $112.36 | $146.54 | +$34.19 | 46% 810-944 (1754) |
VeryLucky888 | Taylor Fritzavg 51.6¢ | $620.95 | $51.41 | +$55.65 | 53% 1056-934 (1990) |
ARTEM-DZYUBA | Taylor Fritzavg 99¢ | $396 | — | +$3.6 | 82% 557-119 (676) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Lorenzo Musettiavg 45.6¢ | $61.14 | — | -$61.14 | 36% 667-1161 (1828) |
00 0000.CTR | Lorenzo Musettiavg 48.7¢ | $697 | — | -$697 | 36% 14-25 (39) |
poshposhInvested
$112.36
Value
$146.54
PnL
+$34.19
Record
46%
810-944 (1754)
VeryLucky888Invested
$620.95
Value
$51.41
PnL
+$55.65
Record
53%
1056-934 (1990)
ARTEM-DZYUBAInvested
$396
Value
—
PnL
+$3.6
Record
82%
557-119 (676)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$61.14
Value
—
PnL
-$61.14
Record
36%
667-1161 (1828)
00
0000.CTRInvested
$697
Value
—
PnL
-$697
Record
36%
14-25 (39)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x301eee8f...2e8fa1
Slug
atp-fritz-musetti-2026-11-13-game-handicap-home-1pt5