Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Tomasz Berkieta
5 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Tomasz Berkieta (56%) · Tomasz Berkieta at 0.1¢ · $2K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
9
Tomasz Berkieta 56%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
-$63.79
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Tomasz Berkietaavg 28.2¢ | $2.2K | $1.6K | -$663.18 | 54% 16754-14059 (30813) |
| └ Liam Draxl leg | Liam Draxlavg 89¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$15.46 | |
| └ Tomasz Berkieta leg | Tomasz Berkietaavg 28.2¢ | $1.1K | $495.34 | -$647.72 | |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR | Tomasz Berkietaavg 24.4¢ | $272.09 | $309.92 | +$37.83 | 52% 13507-12361 (25868) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Liam Draxlavg 80.4¢ | $105.12 | $117.13 | +$12.01 | 58% 18318-13458 (31776) |
TH thestingsnake | Liam Draxlavg 70.4¢ | $787.87 | $97.51 | -$119.73 | 60% 3925-2655 (6580) |
![]() TRCMCTR<$100 | Tomasz Berkietaavg 40.8¢ | $36.71 | $24.3 | -$12.41 | 55% 3901-3131 (7032) |
![]() tradecraftCTR<$100 | Tomasz Berkietaavg 10¢ | $8 | $21.6 | +$13.6 | 52% 5834-5451 (11285) |
EF efntrick<$100 | Liam Draxlavg 49¢ | $5.02 | $10.95 | +$5.93 | 48% 3630-3886 (7516) |
![]() 0xheavy888<$100 | Liam Draxlavg 80¢ | $4 | $4.25 | +$0.25 | 56% 6850-5490 (12340) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Tomasz Berkietaavg 20.7¢ | $4.17 | $2.9 | -$1.27 | 54% 2639-2268 (4907) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Tomasz Berkietaavg 11.9¢ | $0.14 | $0.14 | +$0 | 54% 55386-47442 (102828) |
Invested
$2,246.73
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$663.18
Record
54%
16754-14059 (30813)
Both legs:
Invested
$272.09
Value
$309.92
PnL
+$37.83
Record
52%
13507-12361 (25868)
Invested
$105.12
Value
$117.13
PnL
+$12.01
Record
58%
18318-13458 (31776)
Invested
$787.87
Value
$97.51
PnL
-$119.73
Record
60%
3925-2655 (6580)
TRCMCTR<$100Invested
$36.71
Value
$24.3
PnL
-$12.41
Record
55%
3901-3131 (7032)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
$21.6
PnL
+$13.6
Record
52%
5834-5451 (11285)
Invested
$5.02
Value
$10.95
PnL
+$5.93
Record
48%
3630-3886 (7516)
0xheavy888<$100Invested
$4
Value
$4.25
PnL
+$0.25
Record
56%
6850-5490 (12340)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$4.17
Value
$2.9
PnL
-$1.27
Record
54%
2639-2268 (4907)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.14
Value
$0.14
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
55386-47442 (102828)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
CTRTomasz Berkieta — $309.92
BillBenter2026
Liam Draxl — $117.13
thestingsnake
Liam Draxl — $97.51

TRCM
CTRTomasz Berkieta — $24.3

tradecraft
CTRTomasz Berkieta — $21.6
efntrick
Liam Draxl — $10.95

0xheavy888
Liam Draxl — $4.25

HRTrading
CTRTomasz Berkieta — $2.9

RN1
CTRTomasz Berkieta — $0.14