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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Behar/Paris — but Paul/Vocel won instead.

Orleans (Doubles): Paul/Vocel vs Behar/Paris

Resolved Paul/Vocel. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Behar/Paris. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Behar/Paris 57%

Total Value

$140.76

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Behar/Paris

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Paul/Vocel100%

Behar/Paris0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Behar/Paris5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,090

Combined PnL$-1.2K

Paul/Vocel3 traders

Total Value$140.76

Total Shares141

Combined PnL+$32.16

Behar/Paris — 63%Paul/Vocel — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NO NotJumpCTR	Behar/Parisavg 50¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K	52% 815-747 (1562)
alpheclabs2	Paul/Vocelavg 76¢	$94.75	$124.67	+$29.92	45% 284-341 (625)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Behar/Parisavg 16.8¢	$110.68	—	-$110.68	50% 2513-2472 (4985)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Behar/Parisavg 15.6¢	$60.87	—	-$59.49	48% 3205-3505 (6710)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Paul/Vocelavg 85.6¢	$9.66	$11.1	+$1.44	38% 537-879 (1416)
dips.<$100	Paul/Vocelavg 84¢	$4.2	$5	+$0.8	47% 967-1091 (2058)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Behar/Parisavg 8.2¢	$1.12	—	-$1.12	37% 1022-1710 (2732)
GL glennyorkshireCTR<$100	Behar/Parisavg 43¢	$10	—	-$6.05	45% 160-198 (358)

Invested

$1,050

Value

—

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

52%

815-747 (1562)

Invested

$94.75

Value

$124.67

PnL

+$29.92

Record

45%

284-341 (625)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Invested

$110.68

Value

—

PnL

-$110.68

Record

50%

2513-2472 (4985)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$60.87

Value

—

PnL

-$59.49

Record

48%

3205-3505 (6710)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100

Invested

$9.66

Value

$11.1

PnL

+$1.44

Record

38%

537-879 (1416)

Invested

$4.2

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.8

Record

47%

967-1091 (2058)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

37%

1022-1710 (2732)

glennyorkshireCTR<$100

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$6.05

Record

45%

160-198 (358)

Smart Money Signal

Behar/Paris

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa6b10e43...2bafca

Slug

atp-doubles-paulvoc-behapar-2026-11-14

Traders in this Market

NotJump

Behar/Paris — $0

alpheclabs2

Paul/Vocel — $124.67

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Behar/Paris — $0

38791873984189

Behar/Paris — $0

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Paul/Vocel — $11.1

dips.

Paul/Vocel — $5

topdogbigboi

Behar/Paris — $0

glennyorkshire

Behar/Paris — $0

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