Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Ellis/Tu — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Ellis/Tu
Brisbane 3 (Doubles): Ellis/Tu vs Ayeni/Isomura
Resolved Ellis/Tu. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Ellis/Tu. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Ellis/Tu 75%
1 arb excluded
$5.0K
$421.1
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Ellis/Tuavg 63¢ | $2.9K | $3.4K | +$570.42 | 51% 2485-2431 (4916) |
LO looppau | Ellis/Tuavg 99.9¢ | $987.16 | $988.15 | +$0.99 | 100% 633-0 (633) |
SU suntori | Ellis/Tuavg 93¢ | $289.84 | $308.24 | +$20.4 | 46% 2495-2986 (5481) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Ayeni/Isomuraavg 25.9¢ | $253.82 | $201.75 | -$52.07 | 38% 981-1634 (2615) |
| └ Ellis/Tu leg | Ellis/Tuavg 33.1¢ | $66.75 | $201.75 | +$135 | |
| └ Ayeni/Isomura leg | Ayeni/Isomuraavg 25.9¢ | $187.07 | — | -$187.07 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | Ayeni/Isomuraavg 25.9¢ | $549.28 | — | -$114.94 | 48% 3155-3450 (6605) |
 dips.<$100 | Ellis/Tuavg 62¢ | $24.8 | $40 | +$15.2 | 47% 940-1065 (2005) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Ayeni/Isomuraavg 47¢ | $79.79 | — | -$79.79 | 38% 526-863 (1389) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Ellis/Tuavg 62¢ | $6.93 | $11.18 | +$4.25 | 44% 632-791 (1423) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Ellis/Tuavg 58¢ | $10.42 | $8 | +$4.58 | 34% 358-691 (1049) |
NO NotJump | Ellis/Tuavg 50¢ | $1.1K | $0.05 | -$0 | 52% 793-723 (1516) |
Invested
$2,850.51
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$570.42
Record
51%
2485-2431 (4916)
Invested
$987.16
Value
$988.15
PnL
+$0.99
Record
100%
633-0 (633)
Invested
$289.84
Value
$308.24
PnL
+$20.4
Record
46%
2495-2986 (5481)
Invested
$253.82
Value
$201.75
PnL
-$52.07
Record
38%
981-1634 (2615)
Both legs:
Invested
$549.28
Value
—
PnL
-$114.94
Record
48%
3155-3450 (6605)
dips.<$100Invested
$24.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$15.2
Record
47%
940-1065 (2005)
Invested
$79.79
Value
—
PnL
-$79.79
Record
38%
526-863 (1389)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$11.18
PnL
+$4.25
Record
44%
632-791 (1423)
Invested
$10.42
Value
$8
PnL
+$4.58
Record
34%
358-691 (1049)
Invested
$1,050
Value
$0.05
PnL
-$0
Record
52%
793-723 (1516)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Ellis/Tu — $3.4K
looppau
Ellis/Tu — $988.15
suntori
Ellis/Tu — $308.24
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
CTRAyeni/Isomura — $0
dips.
Ellis/Tu — $40
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRAyeni/Isomura — $0
smithagent
Ellis/Tu — $11.18
SlickRick123
Ellis/Tu — $8
NotJump
Ellis/Tu — $0.05