Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Mackinlay/Nedunchezhiyan — but Duda/Pereira won instead.
Monastir (Doubles): Duda/Pereira vs Mackinlay/Nedunchezhiyan
Resolved Duda/Pereira. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Mackinlay/Nedunchezhiyan. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Mackinlay/Nedunchezhiyan 50%
$611.89
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO NotJumpCTR | Mackinlay/Nedunchezhiyanavg 50¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 52% 812-742 (1554) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Duda/Pereiraavg 82.1¢ | $303.05 | $368.9 | +$65.85 | 38% 534-877 (1411) |
SU suntori | Duda/Pereiraavg 85.4¢ | $190.47 | $222.99 | +$32.52 | 46% 2602-3088 (5690) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Mackinlay/Nedunchezhiyanavg 13.8¢ | $93.99 | — | -$89.39 | 48% 3199-3501 (6700) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Duda/Pereiraavg 83¢ | $16.6 | $20 | +$3.4 | 82% 701-150 (851) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Mackinlay/Nedunchezhiyanavg 18.8¢ | $6.21 | — | -$6.21 | 45% 651-808 (1459) |
Invested
$1,050
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
52%
812-742 (1554)
Invested
$303.05
Value
$368.9
PnL
+$65.85
Record
38%
534-877 (1411)
Invested
$190.47
Value
$222.99
PnL
+$32.52
Record
46%
2602-3088 (5690)
Invested
$93.99
Value
—
PnL
-$89.39
Record
48%
3199-3501 (6700)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$16.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.4
Record
82%
701-150 (851)
Invested
$6.21
Value
—
PnL
-$6.21
Record
45%
651-808 (1459)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
NotJump
CTRMackinlay/Nedunchezhiyan — $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Duda/Pereira — $368.9
suntori
Duda/Pereira — $222.99
38791873984189
CTRMackinlay/Nedunchezhiyan — $0
ARTEM-DZYUBA
Duda/Pereira — $20
smithagent
CTRMackinlay/Nedunchezhiyan — $0