Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Liutarevich/Pieczonka β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Liutarevich/Pieczonka

Orleans (Doubles): Cervantes/Martinez vs Liutarevich/Pieczonka
Resolved Liutarevich/Pieczonka. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Liutarevich/Pieczonka. The smart money was right.
π
Won
4
Liutarevich/Pieczonka 75%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
$359.57
Smart Money Signal
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Liutarevich/Pieczonkaavg 29.5Β’ | $214.29 | $318.44 | +$254.86 | 48% 3239-3552 (6791) |
NO NotJumpARB<$100 | Liutarevich/Pieczonkaavg 50Β’ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$0 | 52% 852-801 (1653) |
| β Liutarevich/Pieczonka leg | Liutarevich/Pieczonkaavg 50Β’ | $525 | $1.1K | +$525 | |
| β Cervantes/Martinez leg | Cervantes/Martinezavg 50Β’ | $525 | β | -$525 | |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Liutarevich/Pieczonkaavg 8.7Β’ | $21.72 | $65.28 | +$131.24 | 35% 378-716 (1094) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Liutarevich/Pieczonkaavg 65Β’ | $13.57 | $20.88 | +$7.31 | 39% 563-895 (1458) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Cervantes/Martinezavg 72Β’ | $33.84 | β | -$33.84 | 45% 679-837 (1516) |
Invested
$214.29
Value
$318.44
PnL
+$254.86
Record
48%
3239-3552 (6791)
Invested
$1,050
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
852-801 (1653)
Both legs:
Invested
$21.72
Value
$65.28
PnL
+$131.24
Record
35%
378-716 (1094)
Invested
$13.57
Value
$20.88
PnL
+$7.31
Record
39%
563-895 (1458)
Invested
$33.84
Value
β
PnL
-$33.84
Record
45%
679-837 (1516)