Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Cerundolo/Etcheverry — but Seggerman/Tien won instead.
Erste Bank Open (Doubles): Cerundolo/Etcheverry vs Seggerman/Tien
Resolved Seggerman/Tien. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Cerundolo/Etcheverry. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
5
Cerundolo/Etcheverry 25%
$366.83
-$579.87
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR | Cerundolo/Etcheverryavg 40¢ | $735 | — | -$735 | 53% 5632-4972 (10604) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Seggerman/Tienavg 57¢ | $318.45 | $318.45 | +$136.93 | 48% 927-999 (1926) |
VD VD721lsj4938Dk388<$100 | Seggerman/Tienavg 60¢ | $25.37 | $42.28 | +$16.91 | 55% 1743-1435 (3178) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Seggerman/Tienavg 79¢ | $4.82 | $6.1 | +$1.28 | 85% 5320-920 (6240) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Cerundolo/Etcheverryavg 38¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 30480-21187 (51667) |
Invested
$735
Value
—
PnL
-$735
Record
53%
5632-4972 (10604)
Invested
$318.45
Value
$318.45
PnL
+$136.93
Record
48%
927-999 (1926)
Invested
$25.37
Value
$42.28
PnL
+$16.91
Record
55%
1743-1435 (3178)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$4.82
Value
$6.1
PnL
+$1.28
Record
85%
5320-920 (6240)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
30480-21187 (51667)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989
CTRCerundolo/Etcheverry — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Seggerman/Tien — $318.45
VD721lsj4938Dk388
Seggerman/Tien — $42.28
ARTEM-DZYUBA
Seggerman/Tien — $6.1
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRCerundolo/Etcheverry — $0