Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Guayaquil: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Juan Carlos Prado
7 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Juan Carlos Prado (88%) · Juan Carlos Prado at 100¢ · $2K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
8
Juan Carlos Prado 88%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$20.01
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 99.9¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$0.6 | 99% 10406-48 (10454) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 90¢ | $655 | $655 | +$0 | 54% 16754-14059 (30813) |
 tradecraft | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 95¢ | $256.5 | $243 | -$13.5 | 52% 5834-5451 (11285) |
EF efntrick<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 74.3¢ | $76.78 | $88.03 | +$11.25 | 48% 3630-3886 (7516) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 92.7¢ | $321.05 | $57.74 | +$31.95 | 53% 596-525 (1121) |
| └ Pedro Boscardin Dias leg | Pedro Boscardin Diasavg 3.9¢ | $12.43 | $31.96 | +$19.8 | |
| └ Juan Carlos Prado leg | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 92.7¢ | $26.55 | $25.79 | +$12.15 | |
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100 | Pedro Boscardin Diasavg 29¢ | $36.55 | $18.7 | -$17.85 | 50% 3679-3655 (7334) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 98.7¢ | $10.95 | $9.94 | -$1.01 | 54% 2639-2268 (4907) |
 RN1<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 86¢ | $7.31 | $7.65 | +$0.34 | 54% 55386-47442 (102828) |
 poshposh<$100 | Juan Carlos Pradoavg 79¢ | $1.22 | $1.39 | +$0.17 | 60% 9138-6084 (15222) |
Invested
$1,193.28
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$0.6
Record
99%
10406-48 (10454)
Invested
$655
Value
$655
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
16754-14059 (30813)
tradecraftInvested
$256.5
Value
$243
PnL
-$13.5
Record
52%
5834-5451 (11285)
Invested
$76.78
Value
$88.03
PnL
+$11.25
Record
48%
3630-3886 (7516)
Invested
$321.05
Value
$57.74
PnL
+$31.95
Record
53%
596-525 (1121)
Both legs:
Invested
$36.55
Value
$18.7
PnL
-$17.85
Record
50%
3679-3655 (7334)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$10.95
Value
$9.94
PnL
-$1.01
Record
54%
2639-2268 (4907)
RN1<$100Invested
$7.31
Value
$7.65
PnL
+$0.34
Record
54%
55386-47442 (102828)
poshposh<$100Invested
$1.22
Value
$1.39
PnL
+$0.17
Record
60%
9138-6084 (15222)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
looppau
Juan Carlos Prado — $1.2K
HomeRunHazard
Juan Carlos Prado — $655
tradecraft
Juan Carlos Prado — $243
efntrick
Juan Carlos Prado — $88.03
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
NatoAlfista
CTRPedro Boscardin Dias — $18.7
HRTrading
Juan Carlos Prado — $9.94
RN1
Juan Carlos Prado — $7.65
poshposh
Juan Carlos Prado — $1.39