Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Liam Broady — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Liam Broady
Ningbo: Jake Delaney vs Liam Broady
Resolved Liam Broady. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Liam Broady. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Liam Broady 73%
1 arb excluded
$6.2K
$-2.2K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Liam Broadyavg 82.3¢ | $2.5K | $2.2K | +$132.82 | 46% 7901-9318 (17219) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Liam Broadyavg 86.7¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$1.88 | 52% 13717-12519 (26236) |
| └ Liam Broady leg | Liam Broadyavg 86.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$161.22 | |
| └ Jake Delaney leg | Jake Delaneyavg 11.3¢ | $159.34 | — | -$159.34 | |
 tradecraftCTR | Jake Delaneyavg 32¢ | $4.0K | — | $-1.3K | 51% 5970-5661 (11631) |
 TRCMCTR | Jake Delaneyavg 32¢ | $4.0K | — | $-1.3K | 55% 3937-3171 (7108) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Liam Broadyavg 80¢ | $991.48 | $991.48 | +$198.3 | 48% 751-806 (1557) |
TH thestingsnake | Liam Broadyavg 82.8¢ | $949.63 | $770.2 | +$10.68 | 60% 4031-2719 (6750) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Liam Broadyavg 82¢ | $287 | $350 | +$63 | 51% 1394-1340 (2734) |
 VeryLucky888 | Liam Broadyavg 71¢ | $251.9 | $349.59 | +$101.48 | 58% 41483-30101 (71584) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Liam Broadyavg 82¢ | $125.46 | $153 | +$27.54 | 58% 18575-13635 (32210) |
EU Eulhunter | Liam Broadyavg 67.6¢ | $167.27 | $115.99 | +$28.1 | 55% 5710-4749 (10459) |
SC SchruteBucks | Liam Broadyavg 90¢ | $668.5 | $31.67 | -$203.74 | 56% 1836-1427 (3263) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Jake Delaneyavg 4¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 38% 3184-5178 (8362) |
FA Favorite-Cave-Muscat | Liam Broadyavg 77.5¢ | $829.2 | $20.85 | +$57.27 | 68% 321-152 (473) |
FL flatbarrelCTR | Jake Delaneyavg 32.2¢ | $2.1K | — | -$23.19 | 58% 2744-1967 (4711) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Liam Broadyavg 83¢ | $8.3 | $10 | +$1.7 | 86% 5071-855 (5926) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Liam Broadyavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$0.98 | 47% 2254-2544 (4798) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Liam Broadyavg 84¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18973-19387 (38360) |
Invested
$2,471.47
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$132.82
Record
46%
7901-9318 (17219)
Invested
$1,210.17
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$1.88
Record
52%
13717-12519 (26236)
Both legs:
tradecraftCTRInvested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
51%
5970-5661 (11631)
TRCMCTRInvested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
55%
3937-3171 (7108)
Invested
$991.48
Value
$991.48
PnL
+$198.3
Record
48%
751-806 (1557)
Invested
$949.63
Value
$770.2
PnL
+$10.68
Record
60%
4031-2719 (6750)
Invested
$287
Value
$350
PnL
+$63
Record
51%
1394-1340 (2734)
VeryLucky888Invested
$251.9
Value
$349.59
PnL
+$101.48
Record
58%
41483-30101 (71584)
Invested
$125.46
Value
$153
PnL
+$27.54
Record
58%
18575-13635 (32210)
Invested
$167.27
Value
$115.99
PnL
+$28.1
Record
55%
5710-4749 (10459)
Invested
$668.5
Value
$31.67
PnL
-$203.74
Record
56%
1836-1427 (3263)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
38%
3184-5178 (8362)
Invested
$829.2
Value
$20.85
PnL
+$57.27
Record
68%
321-152 (473)
Invested
$2,092.99
Value
—
PnL
-$23.19
Record
58%
2744-1967 (4711)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.7
Record
86%
5071-855 (5926)
Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.98
Record
47%
2254-2544 (4798)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18973-19387 (38360)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
38791873984189
Liam Broady — $2.2K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
tradecraft
CTRJake Delaney — $0
TRCM
CTRJake Delaney — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Liam Broady — $991.48
thestingsnake
Liam Broady — $770.2
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
Liam Broady — $350
VeryLucky888
Liam Broady — $349.59
BillBenter2026
Liam Broady — $153
Eulhunter
Liam Broady — $115.99