Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Martin Damm — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Martin Damm
Brest: Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
Resolved Martin Damm. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Martin Damm. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Martin Damm 50%
1 arb excluded
$6.4K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Martin Dammavg 80.1¢ | $3.6K | $3.2K | -$392.93 | 54% 55353-47409 (102762) |
LO looppau | Martin Dammavg 99.9¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.5 | 99% 10395-47 (10442) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgavg 22.4¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 59% 44290-30654 (74944) |
PA Paul973973 | Martin Dammavg 91.5¢ | $1,000 | $1.1K | +$92.36 | 89% 870-109 (979) |
LS LSS1 | Martin Dammavg 82¢ | $409.19 | $499.01 | +$89.82 | 72% 1534-600 (2134) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgavg 14.5¢ | $83.9 | — | -$83.9 | 52% 13489-12341 (25830) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Martin Dammavg 80.7¢ | $296.79 | $102.75 | -$34.44 | 53% 584-515 (1099) |
| └ Martin Damm leg | Martin Dammavg 80.7¢ | $82.88 | $102.75 | +$24.4 | |
| └ Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg leg | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgavg 24.9¢ | $47.94 | — | -$58.84 | |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgavg 11¢ | $56.76 | — | -$56.76 | 54% 16741-14048 (30789) |
 0xheavy888CTR | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgavg 38¢ | $229.14 | — | -$229.14 | 56% 6844-5479 (12323) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgavg 37.5¢ | $68.69 | — | -$75.09 | 58% 27870-20510 (48380) |
EF efntrick<$100 | Martin Dammavg 86¢ | $19.5 | $15 | -$4.5 | 48% 3618-3875 (7493) |
SC SchruteBucks | Martin Dammavg 75.4¢ | $613.38 | $14.95 | +$35.27 | 56% 1786-1395 (3181) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgavg 19.8¢ | $6.02 | — | -$6.02 | 54% 2609-2230 (4839) |
RN1Invested
$3,552.01
Value
$3.2K
PnL
-$392.93
Record
54%
55353-47409 (102762)
Invested
$1,498.5
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.5
Record
99%
10395-47 (10442)
Invested
$1,174.25
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
59%
44290-30654 (74944)
Invested
$1,000
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$92.36
Record
89%
870-109 (979)
Invested
$409.19
Value
$499.01
PnL
+$89.82
Record
72%
1534-600 (2134)
Invested
$83.9
Value
—
PnL
-$83.9
Record
52%
13489-12341 (25830)
Invested
$296.79
Value
$102.75
PnL
-$34.44
Record
53%
584-515 (1099)
Both legs:
Invested
$56.76
Value
—
PnL
-$56.76
Record
54%
16741-14048 (30789)
0xheavy888CTRInvested
$229.14
Value
—
PnL
-$229.14
Record
56%
6844-5479 (12323)
Invested
$68.69
Value
—
PnL
-$75.09
Record
58%
27870-20510 (48380)
Invested
$19.5
Value
$15
PnL
-$4.5
Record
48%
3618-3875 (7493)
Invested
$613.38
Value
$14.95
PnL
+$35.27
Record
56%
1786-1395 (3181)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$6.02
Value
—
PnL
-$6.02
Record
54%
2609-2230 (4839)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Martin Damm — $3.2K
looppau
Martin Damm — $1.5K
UpTheBlues
CTRSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg — $0
Paul973973
Martin Damm — $1.1K
LSS1
Martin Damm — $499.01
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
CTRSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg — $0
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
HomeRunHazard
CTRSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg — $0
0xheavy888
CTRSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg — $0
LeLynxMalynx
CTRSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg — $0