Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Mattia Bellucci — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Mattia Bellucci
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci
Resolved Mattia Bellucci. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Mattia Bellucci. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Mattia Bellucci 64%
$36.9K
-$702.43
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Mattia Bellucciavg 76.4¢ | $27.0K | $27.0K | +$6.4K | 54% 56596-48765 (105361) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Mattia Bellucciavg 74.2¢ | $3.8K | $4.4K | +$666.14 | 52% 13782-12582 (26364) |
KK kkookkooCTR | Pablo Carreno Bustaavg 19.9¢ | $6.9K | — | $-6.9K | 51% 605-579 (1184) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Mattia Bellucciavg 82¢ | $3.2K | $3.2K | +$580.5 | 48% 920-988 (1908) |
TH thestingsnake | Mattia Bellucciavg 78¢ | $1.4K | $1.8K | +$385.16 | 60% 4065-2738 (6803) |
KK KkunnCTR | Pablo Carreno Bustaavg 19.3¢ | $7.3K | — | $-1.4K | 44% 231-295 (526) |
MR MrDoucheCTR | Pablo Carreno Bustaavg 18¢ | $540 | — | -$540 | 82% 1688-362 (2050) |
 VeryLucky888 | Mattia Bellucciavg 61¢ | $91.5 | $150 | +$58.5 | 58% 41902-30424 (72326) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Mattia Bellucciavg 85.8¢ | $123.48 | $144 | +$20.52 | 58% 18650-13710 (32360) |
NA NatoAlfista | Mattia Bellucciavg 58¢ | $83.23 | $143.5 | +$60.27 | 50% 3869-3825 (7694) |
 tradecraft | Mattia Bellucciavg 86¢ | $105 | $105 | +$14.65 | 51% 6003-5696 (11699) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080<$100 | Mattia Bellucciavg 71¢ | $7.6 | $10.7 | +$3.1 | 51% 1445-1388 (2833) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Pablo Carreno Bustaavg 16.5¢ | $2.14 | — | -$2.14 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Pablo Carreno Bustaavg 6¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 49% 7958-8291 (16249) |
HI hi774cCTR<$100 | Pablo Carreno Bustaavg 40¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4731-4450 (9181) |
FL flatbarrel<$100 | Mattia Bellucciavg 85¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 2750-1972 (4722) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Mattia Bellucciavg 56¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 2389-2622 (5011) |
RN1Invested
$26,966.47
Value
$27.0K
PnL
+$6.4K
Record
54%
56596-48765 (105361)
Invested
$3,757.9
Value
$4.4K
PnL
+$666.14
Record
52%
13782-12582 (26364)
Invested
$6,900
Value
—
PnL
$-6.9K
Record
51%
605-579 (1184)
Invested
$3,225
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$580.5
Record
48%
920-988 (1908)
Invested
$1,400.61
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$385.16
Record
60%
4065-2738 (6803)
Invested
$7,345.85
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
44%
231-295 (526)
Invested
$540
Value
—
PnL
-$540
Record
82%
1688-362 (2050)
VeryLucky888Invested
$91.5
Value
$150
PnL
+$58.5
Record
58%
41902-30424 (72326)
Invested
$123.48
Value
$144
PnL
+$20.52
Record
58%
18650-13710 (32360)
Invested
$83.23
Value
$143.5
PnL
+$60.27
Record
50%
3869-3825 (7694)
tradecraftInvested
$105
Value
$105
PnL
+$14.65
Record
51%
6003-5696 (11699)
Invested
$7.6
Value
$10.7
PnL
+$3.1
Record
51%
1445-1388 (2833)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
-$2.14
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
49%
7958-8291 (16249)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4731-4450 (9181)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
2750-1972 (4722)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
2389-2622 (5011)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Mattia Bellucci — $27.0K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Mattia Bellucci — $4.4K
kkookkoo
CTRPablo Carreno Busta — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Mattia Bellucci — $3.2K
thestingsnake
Mattia Bellucci — $1.8K
Kkunn
CTRPablo Carreno Busta — $0
MrDouche
CTRPablo Carreno Busta — $0
VeryLucky888
Mattia Bellucci — $150
BillBenter2026
Mattia Bellucci — $144
NatoAlfista
Mattia Bellucci — $143.5