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Resolution Proposed

A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon

4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Joaquin Aguilar (67%) · Joaquin Aguilar at 99¢ · $8K held · awaiting resolution

PENDING

⏳

Pending

Consensus Traders

6

Joaquin Aguilar 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.5K

Combined PnL

-$16.95

Smart Money Signal

Joaquin Aguilar

4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Joaquin Aguilar99%
Miguel Tobon1%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Joaquin Aguilar4 traders
Total Value$6.1K
Total Shares6,128
Combined PnL-$28.91
Miguel Tobon2 traders
Total Value$24.65
Total Shares308
Combined PnL+$11.96
Joaquin Aguilar — 67%Miguel Tobon — 33%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x87552cb5...97a884
Slug
atp-aguil-tobon-2026-10-28
Trade on Polymarket