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NoYesNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will LASK Linz vs. SV Oberbank Ried end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$30
Combined PnL
-$443.29
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares290
Combined PnL-$443.33
Yes1 trader
Total Value$30
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$0.05
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RO Rocko33CTR | Noavg 69¢ | $200 | — | -$443.33 | 64% 1014-578 (1592) |
LO looppau<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $29.97 | $30 | +$0.05 | 99% 10557-54 (10611) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44789-31177 (75966) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24471-24125 (48596) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Noavg 78.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12209-12458 (24667) |
RO
Rocko33CTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
-$443.33
Record
64%
1014-578 (1592)
LO
looppau<$100Invested
$29.97
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.05
Record
99%
10557-54 (10611)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44789-31177 (75966)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24471-24125 (48596)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12209-12458 (24667)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x93cc9f12...f027c3
Slug
atc-lin-rie-2026-10-28-draw