Back to Markets
archWill Trump nominate James Bullard as the next Fed chair?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Dec 31
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes4%
No96%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance5.0%
3.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1906.91
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
2006.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x83a36918...617af2
Slug
archwill-trump-nominate-james-bullard-as-the-next-fed-chair