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Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 16
SIGNAL
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes65%
No36%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance66.6%
64.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$50.08
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
150.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x961515f9...c30865
Slug
another-vessel-struck-in-the-black-sea-by-november-15-2026-20261106