Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.
Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United: Buriram United O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Over 80%
$10
-$11.54
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 87Β’ | $8.7 | $10 | +$1.39 | 53% 3047-2709 (5756) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 5Β’ | $2.76 | β | -$2.76 | 60% 9362-6344 (15706) |
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Overavg 12Β’ | $2.05 | β | -$2.05 | 50% 10533-10389 (20922) |
AD adururuCTR<$100 | Overavg 9Β’ | $46.25 | β | -$4.16 | 53% 356-311 (667) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100 | Overavg 8.6Β’ | $46.25 | β | -$3.96 | 53% 328-293 (621) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 94.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 44606-31003 (75609) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 28.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 32772-32329 (65101) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Underavg 63Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 12108-12317 (24425) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Overavg 36.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 8100-6542 (14642) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$8.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.39
Record
53%
3047-2709 (5756)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$2.76
Value
β
PnL
-$2.76
Record
60%
9362-6344 (15706)
Invested
$2.05
Value
β
PnL
-$2.05
Record
50%
10533-10389 (20922)
Invested
$46.25
Value
β
PnL
-$4.16
Record
53%
356-311 (667)
Invested
$46.25
Value
β
PnL
-$3.96
Record
53%
328-293 (621)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44606-31003 (75609)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
32772-32329 (65101)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
12108-12317 (24425)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8100-6542 (14642)
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