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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 12?
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 100%
Total Value
$491.65
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 5 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe6a9949a...e16e4d
Slug
aapl-up-or-down-on-november-12-2026