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Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 3
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes36%
No64%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance37.9%
36.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$163.63
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
263.6
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa3bf159c...459bb1
Slug
2026-senate-map-r-ks-tx