PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
viper0310LuckyWin0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (693–98, n=791)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL—$29K$19.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #950was PM monthly #579was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic—NBA −7 pts, n=48College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won—88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 8% of 48)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 44% of 32)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 56% of 48)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 99% of 610)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.