PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sassy31535melganismachinelearned0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)79% (1034–278, n=1312)65% (2219–1202, n=3421)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL$1.3K$56K$35K$19.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #432Hand-pickedPM monthly #538was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (29 of 41 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=71—College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won—74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—20% (won 7% of 324)3% (won 64% of 42)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 41% of 99)6% (won 93% of 75)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 70% of 125)28% (won 100% of 360)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up—67% (won 97% of 1112)63% (won 100% of 818)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.