← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pvmai | 0x50f7 | machinelearned | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (21–6, n=27) | 83% (37751–7791, n=45542) | 65% (2219–1202, n=3421) | 47% (125–143, n=268) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $562K | $35K | $19.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #376 | PM monthly #319 | PM monthly #538 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=163 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% | 50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 14% (won 18% of 3904) | 3% (won 64% of 42) | 0% (won 0% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 3% (won 100% of 787) | 6% (won 93% of 75) | 42% (won 47% of 535) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 1765) | 28% (won 100% of 360) | 57% (won 51% of 729) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 77% (won 100% of 21661) | 63% (won 100% of 818) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.