PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz70x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-17613204845180x04c3e0754b73eb7738eaf3e2f5ce77017841a2e9NiceDuckBro
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (29907–19650, n=49557)48% (52–57, n=109)65% (161–87, n=248)
Consensus PnL—$94K-$36-$13K
Tracked asPM monthly #929PM monthly #350was PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (12 of 15 open)no open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +38 pts n=13935, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Tennis −3 pts, n=83Mentions −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13953 at avg 61¢, ROI +28%96% of 84 at avg 100¢, ROI −1%65% of 326 at avg 65¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 98% of 465)0%13% (won 2% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—46% (won 100% of 6358)0%14% (won 33% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 100% of 2743)0%21% (won 69% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 4387)100% (won 96% of 84)52% (won 88% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnz70x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-17613204845180x04c3e0754b73eb7738eaf3e2f5ce77017841a2e9NiceDuckBro
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8K—Yes $73