PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz70x351f51e4a6e48d36c79ada2e0ed3fe43929db0d8MayorMamdaniasdaasda
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (93–52, n=145)62% (20059–12041, n=32100)68% (625–289, n=914)
Consensus PnL—$34K$17K$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #991PM monthly #673PM monthly #325
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +23 pts n=2957, ROI +27%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=421, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Esports −3 pts, n=47——
Settled positions, side won—63% of 129 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%100% of 2957 at avg 77¢, ROI +27%99% of 421 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 33% of 9)3% (won 100% of 86)5% (won 90% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 30)8% (won 100% of 251)16% (won 99% of 69)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 60% of 43)19% (won 100% of 556)43% (won 99% of 182)
Entries 70¢ and up—36% (won 85% of 47)70% (won 100% of 2064)35% (won 100% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.