PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market85% (11–2, n=13)85% (236–41, n=277)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL—$16K$429K$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #885PM monthly #485PM monthly #427
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position82% (58 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 11 at avg 56¢, ROI +47%91% of 289 at avg 89¢, ROI +1%100% of 2 at avg 70¢, ROI +29%
Entries under 30¢—0%8% (won 0% of 22)0%
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 50% of 4)0%
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 100% of 8)2% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 1)89% (won 100% of 256)50% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.