PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fleethisco22Macks22frede13337
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (128–83, n=211)61% (25–16, n=41)63% (5–3, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$13K$1.0M$52K
Tracked asPM monthly #999was PM monthly #713was PM monthly #169 + pinnedPM monthly #333
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position100% (6 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—68% of 199 at avg 62¢, ROI +8%77% of 97 at avg 72¢, ROI +23%71% of 7 at avg 40¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—0%6% (won 0% of 6)14% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 52% of 31)8% (won 63% of 8)57% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 72% of 108)26% (won 68% of 25)29% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 70% of 60)60% (won 91% of 58)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.