PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market70% (77–33, n=110)89% (8–1, n=9)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$11K$25K$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #707was PM monthly #963PM monthly #666PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—66% of 87 at avg 65¢, ROI +5%100% of 9 at avg 66¢, ROI +9%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 50% of 2)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 43% of 7)11% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—48% (won 69% of 42)33% (won 100% of 3)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—41% (won 67% of 36)56% (won 100% of 5)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.