PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kingofcoinflips0x930261a4741cfa67169bb254d05fd225a7286924NIULAI4vfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)31% (57–124, n=181)70% (77–33, n=110)93% (7447–566, n=8013)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL$354K$11K$103K$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #918was PM monthly #963PM monthly #353PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +20 pts n=150, ROI −5%
none with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +10 pts n=4923, ROI +13%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 152 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%66% of 87 at avg 65¢, ROI +5%99% of 4923 at avg 88¢, ROI +13%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 22)2% (won 50% of 2)1% (won 17% of 59)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 7)8% (won 43% of 7)1% (won 86% of 42)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 97% of 33)48% (won 69% of 42)3% (won 96% of 139)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 90)41% (won 67% of 36)95% (won 100% of 4683)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.