PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
X12345670xe34b8deb3de95e27dc8b9d915d53aa42ca7203a3honey-spotthismonth
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (5–0, n=5)95% (230–11, n=241)63% (417–244, n=661)
Consensus PnL—$51K$112K$75K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #351was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #676
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
  • Crypto +28 pts n=614, ROI +10%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15%80% of 5 at avg 21¢, ROI +64%97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%63% of 618 at avg 35¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)80% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 40% of 5)43% (won 40% of 266)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 2)0%11% (won 86% of 22)33% (won 72% of 205)
Entries 50–70¢0%20% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 100% of 45)18% (won 92% of 110)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 2)0%64% (won 100% of 130)6% (won 95% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.