PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
X12345670xe34b8deb3de95e27dc8b9d915d53aa42ca7203a3honey-spotmachinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (5–0, n=5)95% (230–11, n=241)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—$51K$112K$35K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #351was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #578
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15%80% of 5 at avg 21¢, ROI +64%97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)80% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 40% of 5)3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 2)0%11% (won 86% of 22)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢0%20% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 100% of 45)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 2)0%64% (won 100% of 130)63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.