PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
X1234567segment3RRRRRRRRLLuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (4–0, n=4)50% (2–2, n=4)88% (693–98, n=791)
Consensus PnL—$16K$161K$29K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996was PM monthly #832was PM monthly #324was PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (21 of 28 open)no open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15%100% of 3 at avg 85¢, ROI +22%100% of 2 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)0%0%7% (won 8% of 48)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 2)0%100% (won 100% of 2)4% (won 44% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢0%0%0%7% (won 56% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 2)100% (won 100% of 3)0%83% (won 99% of 610)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketX1234567segment3RRRRRRRRLLuckyWin
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $2
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9K—Yes $1