PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TyshaMelayu0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941StakesForFun
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (42–2, n=44)89% (48–6, n=54)59% (160–110, n=270)
Consensus PnL—-$12K-$54K$106K
Tracked asPM monthly #789was PM monthly #977Hand-pickedPM monthly #180
Sides with the consensus61% (22 of 36 open)no open consensus position100% (14 of 14 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—50% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI −78%84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%62% of 341 at avg 60¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—0%6% (won 8% of 12)8% (won 4% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 100% of 1)3% (won 40% of 5)24% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—0%9% (won 56% of 18)37% (won 64% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up—75% (won 33% of 3)82% (won 95% of 155)31% (won 95% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.