PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackPeopleDontRecycle0x930261a4741cfa67169bb254d05fd225a7286924beheo123Onlylose-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market70% (77–33, n=110)66% (29–15, n=44)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL—$11K$44K$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #750was PM monthly #963was PM monthly #982was PM monthly #995
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=55———
Settled positions, side won80% of 166 at avg 80¢, ROI +1%66% of 87 at avg 65¢, ROI +5%86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 5)2% (won 50% of 2)18% (won 40% of 5)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 25% of 8)8% (won 43% of 7)14% (won 100% of 4)100% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 54% of 24)48% (won 69% of 42)36% (won 100% of 10)0%
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 91% of 129)41% (won 67% of 36)32% (won 89% of 9)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.