PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8DDDpspspsps5machinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (11217–6634, n=17851)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—$274K$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #379PM monthly #580PM monthly #594
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +39 pts n=7800, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 100% of 1995)3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 100% of 988)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 100% of 1083)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up—48% (won 100% of 3734)63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.