PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd80xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941StakesForFun
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (48–6, n=54)59% (160–110, n=270)
Consensus PnL—-$54K$106K
Tracked asPM monthly #915Hand-pickedPM monthly #186
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (14 of 14 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%62% of 341 at avg 60¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 8% of 12)8% (won 4% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 40% of 5)24% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 56% of 18)37% (won 64% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up—82% (won 95% of 155)31% (won 95% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.