Research lab

Ask "what if I had followed this rule?" and get the answer from real history: the tracked wallets' own fills, replayed hour by hour the way the site computes its consensus, with $1 a trade, the spread and Polymarket's fees. Every result shows the number of trades, the mean return with its 95 % interval, the hit rate against the hit rate that breaks even, and how the first 70 % of the period compares with the last 30 %.

Honest by design: trying many variants finds lucky ones, so one "Promising" run is a reason to paper-trade, not proof. The one-year dataset is built from today's top traders, picked with hindsight, and every result from it says so. Past results, not advice.