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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDownDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$63.08
Combined PnL
-$30.6
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$63.08
Total Shares63
Combined PnL-$0.33
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares186
Combined PnL-$30.28
Up — 29%Down — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93.6¢ | $55.37 | $53 | -$2.37 | 65% 123341-65952 (189293) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.8¢ | $12.41 | — | -$12.41 | 55% 43434-35853 (79287) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.29 | — | -$1.29 | 59% 61732-42622 (104354) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $8.88 | — | -$8.88 | 66% 111007-57237 (168244) |
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.6¢ | $4.54 | — | -$4.54 | 53% 3641-3171 (6812) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $8.04 | $10.08 | +$2.04 | 65% 20341-11101 (31442) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 66% 123592-63628 (187220) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$55.37
Value
$53
PnL
-$2.37
Record
65%
123341-65952 (189293)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$12.41
Value
—
PnL
-$12.41
Record
55%
43434-35853 (79287)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.29
Value
—
PnL
-$1.29
Record
59%
61732-42622 (104354)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$8.88
Value
—
PnL
-$8.88
Record
66%
111007-57237 (168244)
YO
YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100Invested
$4.54
Value
—
PnL
-$4.54
Record
53%
3641-3171 (6812)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$8.04
Value
$10.08
PnL
+$2.04
Record
65%
20341-11101 (31442)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
66%
123592-63628 (187220)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x965036c6...e0d999
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793077800