Back to Markets
UpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$75.41
Combined PnL
$4.31
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$75.41
Total Shares75
Combined PnL+$38.74
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares74
Combined PnL-$34.43
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 46.2¢ | $40.32 | $57.6 | +$32.54 | 65% 20299-11074 (31373) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $18.78 | — | -$18.78 | 66% 110995-57210 (168205) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.2¢ | $13.95 | — | -$13.95 | 55% 43408-35825 (79233) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $8.8 | $10 | +$1.2 | 65% 123277-65941 (189218) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $2.81 | $7.81 | +$5 | 58% 59847-43689 (103536) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 66% 123499-63579 (187078) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 52% 88635-83063 (171698) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$40.32
Value
$57.6
PnL
+$32.54
Record
65%
20299-11074 (31373)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$18.78
Value
—
PnL
-$18.78
Record
66%
110995-57210 (168205)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.95
Value
—
PnL
-$13.95
Record
55%
43408-35825 (79233)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.2
Record
65%
123277-65941 (189218)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$2.81
Value
$7.81
PnL
+$5
Record
58%
59847-43689 (103536)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
66%
123499-63579 (187078)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
52%
88635-83063 (171698)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1df0eb61...07f45f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793071200