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MayorMamdani<$100DownDownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$69.02
Combined PnL
$18.4
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$69.02
Total Shares69
Combined PnL+$22.08
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares8
Combined PnL-$3.68
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $19.86 | $25.8 | +$5.94 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $14.84 | $28 | +$13.16 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $3.3 | $6 | +$2.7 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $8.94 | $9.22 | +$0.28 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $10.08 | — | -$3.68 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$19.86
Value
$25.8
PnL
+$5.94
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$14.84
Value
$28
PnL
+$13.16
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.7
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.94
Value
$9.22
PnL
+$0.28
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$10.08
Value
—
PnL
-$3.68
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x272cf553...ec174f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793048100